Statistics Profile

Evelyn Toyofuku

2014

Olympic Epee Masters

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	326	117 - 534	170	2079
Épée	Direct elimination	776	394 - 1157	470	2079
Foil	Pool	381	175 - 586	310	1627
Foil	Direct elimination	1060	704 - 1415	1060	2921

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.