Statistics Profile

Ben Frederick

2006

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1699	1327 - 2070	1516	1913
Épée	Direct elimination	2233	1720 - 2745	2086	2233
Foil	Pool	2185	1327 - 3042	2185	2185
Foil	Direct elimination	1936	845 - 3026	1936	1936

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.