Statistics Profile

John Tran

1975

Louisville Fencing Center, Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2010	1817 - 2202	1716	2593
Épée	Direct elimination	2231	1970 - 2491	1917	2333
Saber	Pool	2289	1232 - 3345	2289	2289
Saber	Direct elimination	3168	1868 - 4467	3168	3168

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.