Statistics Profile

Emmanuel (Nino) Tran

2011

Louisville Fencing Center, Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1368	298 - 2437	1368	1368
Épée	Direct elimination	1963	616 - 3309	1963	1963
Foil	Pool	1506	811 - 2200	1506	1506
Foil	Direct elimination	2038	948 - 3127	2038	2038

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.