Statistics Profile

Chrissa Kazmierowski

2003

Bozeman Fencing Association, LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1929	1677 - 2180	1347	1929
Épée	Direct elimination	2200	1744 - 2655	1642	2200
Foil	Pool	1467	816 - 2117	1467	1467
Foil	Direct elimination	1650	470 - 2829	1650	1650

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.