Statistics Profile

Henry Good

2005

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1644	862 - 2425	1644	1644
Épée	Direct elimination	2082	996 - 3167	2082	2082
Saber	Pool	2044	1292 - 2795	2044	3105
Saber	Direct elimination	2319	1531 - 3106	2319	2834

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.