Statistics Profile

Stella Wyatt

2009

Center for Blade Arts

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1662	1433 - 1890	1662	1917
Épée	Direct elimination	1904	1574 - 2233	1576	2110
Foil	Pool	1611	1374 - 1847	1119	1640
Foil	Direct elimination	1997	1657 - 2336	1811	2176

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.