Statistics Profile

Dylan Carr

1991

Manchen Academy Of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1809	1497 - 2120	1662	2079
Épée	Direct elimination	1980	1535 - 2424	1970	2551
Foil	Pool	1034	469 - 1598	1034	1297
Foil	Direct elimination	1226	225 - 2226	1226	1515
Saber	Pool	1972	1775 - 2168	1968	2602
Saber	Direct elimination	2182	1906 - 2457	1911	2400

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.