Statistics Profile

Grey Anderson

2013

High Desert Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	449	0 - 1038	449	681
Épée	Direct elimination	1263	378 - 2147	1249	1263
Foil	Pool	773	217 - 1328	773	821
Foil	Direct elimination	1093	143 - 2042	1093	1618

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.