Statistics Profile

Angel Guzman

2009

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1443	652 - 2233	1443	1443
Épée	Direct elimination	1623	404 - 2841	1623	1623
Saber	Pool	791	307 - 1274	595	792
Saber	Direct elimination	1374	313 - 2434	1374	1798

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.