Statistics Profile

Eli Towry

2004

Florida State University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1968	782 - 3153	1968	1968
Foil	Direct elimination	1266	127 - 2404	1266	1266
Saber	Pool	966	412 - 1519	966	1665
Saber	Direct elimination	1937	597 - 3276	1937	1937

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.