Statistics Profile

Bo Tan

2014

Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - University City Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - North

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2518	1463 - 3572	2518	2518
Foil	Direct elimination	2001	646 - 3355	2001	2001
Saber	Pool	1682	810 - 2553	1672	1682
Saber	Direct elimination	2080	679 - 3480	2080	2080

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.