Statistics Profile

Sean Limke

2009

Fargo-Moorhead Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	440	0 - 996	399	632
Foil	Direct elimination	1232	305 - 2158	1030	1581
Saber	Pool	1498	877 - 2118	1498	2006
Saber	Direct elimination	1975	1103 - 2846	1924	1975

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.