Statistics Profile

Eric Nguyen

2004

University of California Davis

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2109	1829 - 2388	1608	2332
Foil	Direct elimination	2150	1783 - 2516	2077	2308
Saber	Pool	1481	897 - 2064	1481	1747
Saber	Direct elimination	2026	1158 - 2893	2026	2112

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.