Statistics Profile

Eleanor Chang

2016

Capital Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	899	717 - 1080	560	916
Foil	Direct elimination	1419	1134 - 1703	1154	1704
Saber	Pool	871	690 - 1051	845	1419
Saber	Direct elimination	1533	1297 - 1768	785	1608

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.