Statistics Profile

Scarlett Feng

2012

Bayside Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1009	360 - 1657	1009	1009
Épée	Direct elimination	1764	555 - 2972	1764	1764
Foil	Pool	421	0 - 883	421	820
Foil	Direct elimination	1623	735 - 2510	1493	1623

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.