Statistics Profile

Zane Hoffman

2014

Birmingham Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1289	683 - 1894	1289	1289
Épée	Direct elimination	1651	850 - 2451	1651	1651
Foil	Pool	1130	961 - 1298	620	1297
Foil	Direct elimination	1650	1464 - 1835	1184	1657

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.