Statistics Profile

Hudson Post

2014

Heartland Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	876	686 - 1065	876	2791
Foil	Direct elimination	1402	1087 - 1716	1119	2202
Saber	Pool	1508	1100 - 1915	1359	1755
Saber	Direct elimination	2259	1555 - 2962	2168	2841

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.