Statistics Profile

Sydney Warnick

2010

Wasatch Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Direct elimination	1530	369 - 2690	1530	1530
Foil	Pool	977	101 - 1852	977	2050
Foil	Direct elimination	1542	338 - 2745	1542	1542

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.