Statistics Profile

Claire Ju

2009

Columbia Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1344	735 - 1952	1344	1344
Épée	Direct elimination	1607	389 - 2824	1607	1607
Foil	Pool	609	40 - 1177	609	609
Foil	Direct elimination	1500	374 - 2625	1500	1500

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.