The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem.

Statistics Profile

Jason Xue

2016
Is this your profile? Register with your USFA ID to claim it.
Claim profile

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 658 492 - 823 335 777
Épée Direct elimination 1341 1135 - 1546 1203 2204
Foil Pool 306 0 - 620 306 1758
Foil Direct elimination 1116 604 - 1627 1116 2079

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.