Statistics Profile

Charlie Ktsanes

2005

Fencing Illini, University of Illinois Midwest Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1858	1575 - 2140	1663	2027
Épée	Direct elimination	1401	796 - 2005	1401	2314
Saber	Pool	1518	1220 - 1815	1454	1642
Saber	Direct elimination	2002	1453 - 2550	1409	2002

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.