Statistics Profile

Liam Hsu

2012

Capital Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1113	485 - 1740	1113	1113
Épée	Direct elimination	1688	500 - 2875	1688	1688
Foil	Pool	206	0 - 452	76	656
Foil	Direct elimination	907	392 - 1421	821	1573

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.