Statistics Profile

Gabrielle Wang

2011

Harvard-Westlake High School Wolverines

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1983	1346 - 2619	1983	2234
Épée	Direct elimination	1803	1036 - 2569	1803	2001
Foil	Pool	761	522 - 999	583	1952
Foil	Direct elimination	1374	992 - 1755	1077	1708

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.