Statistics Profile

Brakin Bowen

2010

Spokane Fencers Unlimited

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1243	839 - 1646	863	1298
Épée	Direct elimination	1978	1291 - 2664	1429	1978
Foil	Pool	1143	735 - 1550	1116	2472
Foil	Direct elimination	2164	1304 - 3023	2164	2439

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.