Statistics Profile

Brakin Bowen

2010

Spokane Fencers Unlimited

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1087	569 - 1604	863	1087
Épée	Direct elimination	1429	290 - 2567	1429	1429
Foil	Pool	1116	670 - 1561	1116	2472
Foil	Direct elimination	2439	1309 - 3568	2439	2439

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.