Statistics Profile

Holden DeGuzman

2011

Bergen Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	644	275 - 1012	639	875
Épée	Direct elimination	1177	530 - 1823	1177	1561
Saber	Pool	986	758 - 1213	707	1059
Saber	Direct elimination	1336	921 - 1750	1278	1663

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.