Statistics Profile

Holden DeGuzman

2011

Bergen Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	644	275 - 1012	639	875
Épée	Direct elimination	1176	529 - 1822	1176	1561
Saber	Pool	1020	820 - 1219	707	1058
Saber	Direct elimination	1307	925 - 1688	1278	1665

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.