Statistics Profile

Leon Baier

2014

Nellya Fencers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1223	1046 - 1399	614	1228
Foil	Direct elimination	1592	1336 - 1847	1207	1668
Saber	Pool	813	581 - 1044	148	813
Saber	Direct elimination	1518	1132 - 1903	1254	2054

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.