Statistics Profile

Chandler Smith

2011

Augusta Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	817	94 - 1539	817	817
Épée	Direct elimination	1478	300 - 2655	1478	1478
Foil	Pool	521	12 - 1029	521	1188
Foil	Direct elimination	1392	494 - 2289	1392	1778

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.