Statistics Profile

Joseph Warmerdam

2008

Round Rock Fencing Club, LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1477	809 - 2144	1477	1477
Épée	Direct elimination	2345	1169 - 3520	2345	2345
Foil	Pool	1478	1303 - 1652	1147	1557
Foil	Direct elimination	1890	1662 - 2117	1403	2052

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.