Statistics Profile

Jacob Fuhr

2003

RPI College Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1172	677 - 1666	1172	1472
Épée	Direct elimination	1577	613 - 2540	1577	1612
Foil	Pool	714	119 - 1308	714	714
Foil	Direct elimination	1669	375 - 2962	1669	1669

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.