Statistics Profile

Abigail Castillo

2008

Round Rock Fencing Club, LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1704	759 - 2648	1704	1704
Foil	Direct elimination	2338	1186 - 3489	2338	2338
Saber	Pool	379	101 - 656	322	828
Saber	Direct elimination	786	110 - 1461	786	1630

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.