Statistics Profile

Christian Peralta Sr.

1981

Napa Valley Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	773	529 - 1016	773	1700
Épée	Direct elimination	516	0 - 1126	516	1495
Saber	Pool	860	380 - 1339	860	967
Saber	Direct elimination	1071	162 - 1979	1071	1630

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.