Statistics Profile

Ella Smith

2003

University of Georgia Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	975	130 - 1819	975	975
Épée	Direct elimination	1829	501 - 3156	1829	1829
Foil	Pool	1197	677 - 1716	743	1197
Foil	Direct elimination	1595	750 - 2439	1536	1815

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.