Statistics Profile

OLIVIA ZHOU

2014

Invictus Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	606	106 - 1105	606	821
Épée	Direct elimination	1680	715 - 2644	1497	1680
Foil	Pool	656	23 - 1288	656	656
Foil	Direct elimination	1442	253 - 2630	1442	1442

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.