Statistics Profile

Athena Lin

2016

Capital Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	622	141 - 1102	622	1022
Épée	Direct elimination	1145	261 - 2028	1145	1649
Saber	Pool	574	21 - 1126	574	986
Saber	Direct elimination	1841	824 - 2857	1841	2921

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.