Statistics Profile

Henry Zhu

2012

Tiger Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	762	160 - 1363	502	762
Épée	Direct elimination	1625	430 - 2819	1625	1625
Foil	Pool	354	0 - 1055	354	354
Foil	Direct elimination	1453	304 - 2601	1453	1453

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.