Statistics Profile

Jared Zhu

2008

Tiger Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1238	829 - 1646	1023	1238
Épée	Direct elimination	1853	910 - 2795	1654	2079
Foil	Pool	593	0 - 1217	593	593
Foil	Direct elimination	1530	503 - 2556	1530	1530

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.