Statistics Profile

William Wang

2014

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	904	734 - 1073	485	904
Épée	Direct elimination	1355	1116 - 1593	1235	1546
Saber	Pool	1934	1270 - 2597	1934	1934
Saber	Direct elimination	1690	462 - 2917	1690	1690

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.