Statistics Profile

Peter Crossett

2012

Iowa City Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	985	699 - 1270	985	1343
Épée	Direct elimination	1316	787 - 1844	1316	1469
Foil	Pool	985	717 - 1252	915	3558
Foil	Direct elimination	1385	895 - 1874	1385	3365

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.