Statistics Profile

Alex Scott

2008

Hooked On Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1440	1245 - 1634	1440	1862
Épée	Direct elimination	1429	1035 - 1822	1429	1927
Foil	Pool	992	752 - 1231	920	1771
Foil	Direct elimination	1569	1155 - 1982	1440	1977

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.