Statistics Profile

J.GABRIEL ASTORGA

2009

Hooked On Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1335	979 - 1690	1240	1603
Épée	Direct elimination	1004	203 - 1804	1004	1834
Foil	Pool	691	3 - 1378	691	691
Foil	Direct elimination	1711	515 - 2906	1711	1711

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.