Statistics Profile

Jade Occiano

2002

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1975	1597 - 2352	1975	2627
Foil	Direct elimination	1648	934 - 2361	1435	2127
Saber	Pool	1535	1019 - 2050	1535	1861
Saber	Direct elimination	1792	912 - 2671	1792	2081

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.