Statistics Profile

Alyssa Stenson

1991

Savage Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1528	350 - 2705	1528	1528
Foil	Pool	967	632 - 1301	718	1405
Foil	Direct elimination	1509	829 - 2188	1469	1984

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.