Statistics Profile

William Liu

2016

Athens Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	872	572 - 1171	213	1050
Épée	Direct elimination	1508	928 - 2087	1385	1992
Saber	Pool	1172	618 - 1725	1172	1762
Saber	Direct elimination	1544	402 - 2685	1544	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.