Statistics Profile

Pia Sternad

2012

Davis Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	495	153 - 836	495	966
Épée	Direct elimination	1361	795 - 1926	1003	1395
Foil	Pool	655	461 - 848	457	1196
Foil	Direct elimination	826	435 - 1216	691	1407

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.