Statistics Profile

Juliana Schickel

2005

James Madison University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2352	1698 - 3005	2352	2916
Épée	Direct elimination	2519	1836 - 3201	2035	2561
Foil	Pool	1374	969 - 1778	1313	1538
Foil	Direct elimination	1340	525 - 2154	1340	1535
Saber	Pool	2657	1166 - 4147	2657	2657
Saber	Direct elimination	2699	1211 - 4186	2699	2699

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.