Statistics Profile

Elijah Villaluna

2012

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1154	415 - 1892	1154	1154
Épée	Direct elimination	1925	615 - 3234	1925	1925
Foil	Pool	601	294 - 907	544	1671
Foil	Direct elimination	1149	543 - 1754	1149	2251

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.