Statistics Profile

Paul Wynn

1957

Baker County Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1713	1530 - 1895	1405	1958
Épée	Direct elimination	1861	1580 - 2141	1853	2315
Foil	Pool	782	295 - 1268	782	1942
Foil	Direct elimination	1410	430 - 2389	1410	1833

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.