Statistics Profile

Paul Wynn

1957

Baker County Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1640	1464 - 1815	1405	1959
Épée	Direct elimination	1839	1591 - 2086	1782	2314
Foil	Pool	1052	662 - 1441	781	1942
Foil	Direct elimination	1762	994 - 2529	1410	1833

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.