Statistics Profile

Emma Patterson

2004

Epee Miami Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	800	92 - 1507	800	800
Épée	Direct elimination	1965	691 - 3238	1965	1965
Foil	Pool	1346	859 - 1832	1346	2240
Foil	Direct elimination	1706	468 - 2943	1706	1706

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.