Statistics Profile

Dylan Wong

2008

Long Island Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3296	2155 - 4436	3296	3296
Épée	Direct elimination	1153	8 - 2297	1153	1153
Foil	Pool	2921	1482 - 4359	2921	2921
Foil	Direct elimination	1925	814 - 3035	1925	1925
Saber	Pool	2188	1391 - 2984	2188	2188
Saber	Direct elimination	2167	1051 - 3282	2167	2167

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.